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Regulators can't agree on what the real systemic threat was from AIG

Article: "The Latest AIG Story", WSJ

Yesterday I posted some skepticism on the story that was being told about how a bankrupt AIG would have caused a collapse of our financial system.  This morning the Wall Street Journal raises the same question in an Editorial piece.  They begin with the following question:
Will regulators ever coherently explain why AIG could not be allowed to go bankrupt in September of 2008?

Great question.  If fact it is THE question.  And the WSJ goes on to say:
This topic probably deserves another hearing on its own.

Ya think?!

So, the story told yesterday differs from the one that was told previously:

At yesterday's House hearing, Secretary of the Treasury Timothy Geithner and predecessor Hank Paulson said they didn't bail out AIG to save its derivatives counterparties. Instead, said Mr. Geithner, the now-famous 100-cents-on-the-dollar buyouts of credit default swap contracts were necessary to prevent a further downgrade of AIG by credit-ratings agencies.

In other words, the danger wasn't to Goldman Sachs and Societe General and the other institutions that bought Credit Default Swap insurance from AIG.  It was the individual holders of insurance policies, like you and me, that would be hurt by the downgrade of AIG by credit-ratings agencies.

But this fear does not hold water because, as the editorial points out, the US had already seized AIG:
Remember, the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, where Mr. Geithner was president, had by that time already seized AIG. We're guessing that a ratings agency is pretty comfortable with the creditworthiness of a firm 79.9%-owned by Uncle Sam. Yet Mr. Geithner is saying that the same credit raters that applied triple-A ratings to tranches of junk mortgages somehow got the yips when the world's most respected borrower was standing behind AIG.

OK - holding this credit-rating red herring aside, what was the danger that a downgrade would bring:
Yesterday, however, Messrs. Geithner and Paulson went further than ever in stating that the real systemic risk was to AIG's heavily regulated insurance businesses.

So the danger was not in the unregulated derivatives business, but in the regulated insurance business.  Is that so?

Their testimony directly contradicts that offered to Congress by former New York Insurance Superintendent Eric Dinallo, who was AIG's principal insurance regulator at the time.

Last year Mr. Dinallo told the Senate that "The main reason why the federal government decided to rescue AIG was not because of its insurance companies."

Hmmm.  Very interesting contradiction.  Maybe someone should actually try and sort this out.  Maybe Congress - who authorized the money - should try and understand if they were duped.  

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Filed under  //   AIG   Congress   Financial System   Geithner   Goldman Sachs  

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How Congress got New Orleans to the Super Bowl

Article: "Congress's Team:  Deal for Merger Included Saints", NYT.

This article recounts how the NFL-AFL merger, which required Congressional approval, was pushed through only after the NFL agreed to grant an immediate franchise to New Orleans - home of Majority Whip Haley Boggs.

Holding aside the question of why Congress should be involved in how professional sports leagues organize themselves, I think this opens a window into how legislation gets through Congress.  Not on the merits, but by which Congressional Power Broker benefits.  The general commentary in the mainstream media is about how greedy big business is.  I think this shows that nothing magical happens to people who serve in Congress - they are just as much about "What's in it for me?" as people who serve in a Business context.  In fact, this may be more insidious because Congress wraps itself in the cloak of "public service" while Business is only about "profits".

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Congressman Grayson grills a fellow congressman on the Constitution

Grayson is rapidly becoming a favorite of mine.  I am not necessarily in line with his politics, but I love his pit bull approach to his role.  This clip is a brilliant dressing down of the whole Acorn obsession currently distracting Congress from more pressing business.

Tip of the hat to Glenn Greenwald for this clip.

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Filed under  //   Acorn   Alan Grayson   Congress  

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House Panel Exempts Over 8,000 Banks From Oversight - NYTimes.com

Bowing to political pressure from community bankers, the House Financial Services Committee approved an exemption on Thursday for more than 98 percent of the nation’s banks from oversight by a new agency created to protect consumers from abusive or deceptive credit cards, mortgages and other loans.

Huh?!

So here is the deal: Congress is going to pass legislation creating a new bureaucracy to protect us consumers from bad banks and credit card companies. And the first thing they do is exempt 8000 of the nations 8,200 banks from being reviewed by the new agency.

So rather than hold the existing regulators feet to the fire (did anybody in the SEC get fired for missing Bernie Madoff all those years?) they decide to do what the federal government always does - get bigger. But before they actually grow a new arm they hollow it out. This is an amazing Kabuki dance to watch.

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Filed under  //   Congress   Financial System  

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Defense Bill, Lauded by White House, Contains Billions in Earmarks - washingtonpost.com

The bill, however, would add $1.7 billion for an extra destroyer the Defense Department did not request and $2.5 billion for 10 C-17 cargo planes it did not want, at the behest of lawmakers representing the states where those items would be built. Although the White House said the administration "strongly objects" to the extra C-17s and to the Senate's proposed shift of more than $3 billion from operations and maintenance accounts to projects the Pentagon did not request, no veto was threatened over those provisions.

The destroyer and the 10 cargo planes are not earmarks. These are incremental spending - totaling more than $4 billion - that was not requested by Defense.

I guess when you are running a $1.5 trillion deficit this seems like monopoly money. There is an old saying: "No one manages someone else's money as carefully as they manage their own."

Stop the madness.

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Filed under  //   Congress   Federal Deficit  

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House Approves Stopgap to Keep Government Afloat - NYTimes.com

The bill also increases the budgets for lawmakers’ offices by more than 8 percent.

Huh?! What was that? In the same bill that essentially acknowledges that the Federal Government needs to dip into the credit card to pay the bills, the Congress INCREASES its overhead by 8%. 8%!! Are you increasing the overhead in your household by 8% this year? In your business? In your church or synagogue or mosque?

This is the simplest example of why central planning does not work. It is divorced from financial reality and lives in some netherworld of privilege and hubris.  Life is easy when you don't have to balance your checkbook.

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Filed under  //   Congress   Federal Deficit  

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Matt Taibbi - Taibblog – Congressman who went werewolf on me now spooks Fed officials - True/Slant

Oh, man. This is so great. This guy Grayson is a lawyer's lawyer. He makes the other guy - the General Counsel of the Fed no less - squirm and wish he were somewhere else. Anywhere else.

I think the accusation he is making - "front running" - is that somewhere down the line the Fed executes trades through retail brokers. And these retail brokers, just before they push the Fed's order through, execute an order of their own so they benefit from the Fed's trade. They trade "in front" of the Fed order. This is insider trading of the highest order - and Grayson wants the right to audit these transactions.

Fascinating. And read Taibb's complete post for an entertaining story about his own encounter with Grayson.

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Filed under  //   Congress   Dan Grayson   Federal Reserve   Matt Taibbi  

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